Better Forecast
Budapest – models
Tomorrow (2026-10-07), max temperature
ecmwf: 23.5 °C
gfs: 25.2 °C
icon: 24.3 °C
Our best forecast: 23.8 °C
Average error of each source (last 60 days)
| ecmwf | gfs | icon |
|---|
| 0.54 °C | 0.98 °C | 0.66 °C |
Our models (trained automatically every morning, on 974 days)
Average error on the newest 20% of the days. Lower is better; the best one is green.
| ecmwf | gfs | icon | average of sources | linear | random_forest | neural_net | combined |
|---|
| 0.64 °C | 1.18 °C | 0.70 °C | 0.67 °C | 0.58 °C | 0.73 °C | 0.59 °C | 0.59 °C |
Latest days
| day | ecmwf | gfs | icon | measured |
|---|
| 2026-10-07 |
23.5 | 25.2 | 24.3 |
|
| 2026-10-06 |
24.0 | 24.8 | 24.7 |
|
| 2026-10-05 |
24.3 | 24.5 | 24.9 |
24.4 |
| 2026-10-04 |
23.0 | 24.0 | 23.7 |
23.3 |
| 2026-10-03 |
23.0 | 23.3 | 23.5 |
23.4 |
| 2026-10-02 |
22.7 | 23.7 | 23.5 |
23.5 |
| 2026-10-01 |
22.9 | 23.6 | 23.7 |
23.1 |
| 2026-09-30 |
23.3 | 25.0 | 24.4 |
23.9 |
| 2026-09-29 |
22.2 | 23.9 | 24.0 |
23.0 |
| 2026-09-28 |
23.1 | 24.3 | 24.5 |
23.5 |
| 2026-09-27 |
21.8 | 23.4 | 22.9 |
21.7 |
| 2026-09-26 |
20.4 | 22.3 | 21.2 |
20.7 |
| 2026-09-25 |
19.2 | 19.2 | 18.8 |
19.2 |
| 2026-09-24 |
20.6 | 21.1 | 19.9 |
20.1 |
| 2026-09-23 |
19.3 | 20.6 | 19.9 |
19.5 |